Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.814841 0.951612 1.104027 1.286452 1.498876 1.738464 2.029285
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.583284 0.760901 0.981333 1.274961 1.655982 2.133986 2.779886
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.460059 0.649511 0.903398 1.268428 1.780112 2.472568 3.482500
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.384534 0.578911 0.856164 1.280306 1.913296 2.824205 4.237657
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.315238 0.501734 0.782497 1.235697 1.949710 3.033244 4.807028
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.291158 0.486940 0.796184 1.319789 2.185452 3.562608 5.926964
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.247583 0.433296 0.739827 1.282066 2.218977 3.775261 6.566119
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.211247 0.385589 0.685320 1.237475 2.231302 3.949434 7.157293
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.182365 0.346237 0.638916 1.198930 2.246153 4.125498 7.769108
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.166663 0.328357 0.627674 1.221180 2.371577 4.509754 8.804489
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.160341 0.327149 0.646562 1.301617 2.615083 5.138523 10.379299
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.149572 0.315560 0.643850 1.339148 2.779194 5.634700 11.757449
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.136136 0.297113 0.626093 1.345956 2.886563 6.040801 13.026088
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.122524 0.276415 0.601140 1.334710 2.955743 6.379982 14.206211
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.111041 0.258626 0.579790 1.327916 3.032843 6.744145 15.487720
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.102451 0.246063 0.567983 1.340352 3.153495 7.216110 17.070799
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.090613 0.224229 0.532499 1.293660 3.132718 7.370726 17.946471
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.089026 0.226684 0.553152 1.381679 3.439385 8.310162 20.798688
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.079667 0.208630 0.522875 1.342194 3.432843 8.513736 21.892330
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.070990 0.191063 0.491459 1.295520 3.401986 8.654256 22.846885
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.063630 0.175877 0.463996 1.255175 3.381703 8.817922 23.882432
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.060111 0.170488 0.460929 1.278464 3.530979 9.429812 26.179359
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.059566 0.173212 0.479528 1.362658 3.854986 10.535929 29.958751